Still worse! The plug-in hybrid bus failed to reverse the trend in 2016

Still worse! The plug-in hybrid bus failed to reverse the trend in 2016


Thanks to the “fighting” of 35,000 single month production in December, the pure electric passenger car market in 2016 achieved an annual output of 117,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 31%, and the production and sales volume again set a new record.

So what about hybrid buses? What about plug-in hybrid buses? The situation is not so ideal.

According to the statistics of the State Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the domestic plug-in hybrid bus market produced 4,886 units in December 2016. Although it was the highest monthly production in 2016, it fell slightly by 8% from the same period of last year – this is related to 2016. In December, the pure electric bus market produced a total of 34,900 vehicles, a sharp contrast to the 26% year-on-year increase. After the end of the year, the domestic hybrid bus industry produced a total of 19,578 vehicles (only two were ordinary hybrids, and the rest were plug-in hybrids), which was 19% lower than the 24,100 vehicles sold in the same period last year, which also made the hybrid The proportion of passenger cars in the new energy bus market has further shrunk, and pure electric has become a general trend.

Judging from the curve of the hybrid bus market in the past three years, this segmented market has basically followed a trend of low and high, especially in 2015 and 2016. The upward trend of the monthly curve at the end of the year is very clear. The reason is directly related to the subsidy policy:

2015 is the last year (year of ending) of the national 2013-2015 new energy vehicle subsidy policy, in accordance with the policy expectations at that time (“Notice on Financial Support Policy for Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles 2016-2020”), 2016 The subsidy standard for the promotion and application of new energy vehicles has been added to the assessment requirements of Ekg, and the maximum subsidy for 6-8m vehicles has been reduced from 300,000 yuan/vehicle to 250,000 yuan/vehicle (also not guaranteed to receive the highest subsidy), therefore, 2015 The explosive growth in production and sales volume of new energy buses in November and December (especially the 6-meter pure electric vehicles) was aimed at catching up with the last train at the time of high subsidies. Actually, the subsidy for plug-in hybrid buses did not change in 2015 and 2016. The maximum amount was 250,000 yuan/vehicle. However, it benefited from the blowout wave in the market and the wave of procurement from public transport and passenger transport companies. A substantial increase.

By the end of 2016, as the adjusted 2017 subsidy policy for new energy vehicles has been basically defined, the subsidy for plug-in hybrid buses will increase from 100,000 to 250,000 yuan per vehicle in 2016 (more than 6 meters) to 2017 The annual decline rate is from 45,000 to 15 thousand yuan per vehicle (more than 6 meters), with a drop of 40-55%. Therefore, in November and December 2015, the production and sales volume of hybrid buses rose from the bottom, and the recovery trend was very obvious. Although the momentum of the hybrid buses could not be compared with the exuberant pure electric bus market, it was better than the same period from January to October of the same year. Not too much.

In spite of this, the hybrid bus market has not escaped the decline. In 2016, the domestic hybrid bus market produced a total of 19,600 vehicles, a decrease of 19% over the same period of the previous year. The industry's “big brother” or Yutong, in 2016, produced 5,473 electric plug-in hybrid buses, which fell 14% year-on-year, with a 28% share. The second-placed Zhongtong Bus was up one, up 17% year-on-year to 2,369 units. 12.1%; Futian Ouhui rose from the seventh place in 2015 to the third place in 2016, an increase of 122% to 2077 units and a market share of 10.6%; the fourth place in Xiamen Jinlong ranked one place higher, cumulative production. 2,069 vehicles, an increase of 24% year-on-year, with a share of 10.6%.



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